South Sudan and Ethiopia are projected to record some of Africa’s fastest economic growth rates in 2026, while Kenya is expected to expand at a more moderate pace, highlighting the continent’s uneven recovery and contrasting economic prospects.
The projections show South Sudan leading the selected African economies with an estimated growth rate of 10.5%, followed by Ethiopia at 9.2% and Rwanda at 7.4%. Benin is projected to grow by 7.0%, while Uganda is expected to record 6.2%.
Côte d’Ivoire and Tanzania are both projected to expand by 6.0%, placing them among the continent’s stronger-performing economies. Ghana is forecast to grow by 5.7%, followed by Zambia at 5.6% and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) at 5.2%.
Zimbabwe is projected to record 5.0% growth, while Kenya’s economy is expected to expand by 4.5%. Angola and Nigeria are forecast to grow by 4.4% and 4.2%, respectively.
South Africa is projected to record the slowest growth among the 15 countries listed, at just 1.0%, reflecting the persistent structural challenges facing the continent’s most industrialised economy.
The figures, presented as International Monetary Fund (IMF) projections for 2026, underline the diversity of Africa’s economic performance, with some countries expected to benefit from investment, expanding domestic markets and activity in key productive sectors, while others continue to face structural constraints.
For Kenya, the projected 4.5% growth rate places it below several East African peers, including Ethiopia, Rwanda, Tanzania and Uganda. The comparison highlights the importance of strengthening manufacturing, agricultural productivity, infrastructure, exports and private-sector investment to accelerate economic expansion.
However, headline growth rates do not necessarily translate into improved living standards. Population growth, inflation, public debt, employment creation and income distribution will influence how much economic expansion benefits ordinary citizens.
Similarly, countries recording rapid growth must ensure that investment generates sustainable jobs, expands productive capacity and improves public services.
As African governments pursue economic transformation, the challenge will be to convert projected growth into stronger trade, industrial development and higher household incomes.
